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1994-05-02
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<text>
<title>
The Horn of Africa: Country Updates
</title>
<article>
<hdr>
Foreign Policy Bulletin, May/June 1992
The Horn Of Africa: Country Updates
</hdr>
<body>
<p>Statement by Herman J. Cohen to the Subcommittee on Africa of
the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, March 19, 1992. Mr.
Cohen is Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs.
</p>
<p> Thank you, Mr. Chairman and members of the committee, for
inviting me to speak with you about the developments in the
countries of the Horn of Africa.
</p>
<p> The range of issues to be dealt with in the Horn run the
gamut from drought, famine, and civil war to political reform,
development, and democracy. In Ethiopia, the focus on war has
changed to nation building and development. Leaders there are
taking steps to open the system to greater participation by the
people; the first local elections are to be held soon. We, for
our part, are looking for ways to begin our assistance to that
country. It will, however, be dependent on continued progress
in human rights and democracy.
</p>
<p> As for Sudan, I wish I were the bearer of good news.
Unfortunately, the regime in Khartoum appears bent on ignoring
basic human rights and pursuing the military option in the
south. One particularly egregious manifestation of the uncaring
attitude of the government in Khartoum is its treatment of the
hundreds of thousands of displaced in the capital. Sudanese
authorities have been deaf to our entreaties to allow
humanitarian relief to reach these people.
</p>
<p> In Somalia, the extent of the tragedy there grows daily.
Perhaps 30,000 people have now been killed or wounded. Despite
the obstacles, we continue to look for ways to stop the
bloodshed and bring desperately needed humanitarian relief to
the people of Somalia. The United Nations continues its efforts
to achieve delivery of food and medicine. The Secretary-General
has the support of the OAU [Organization of African Unity], the
Arab League, and the Organization of the Islamic Conference
[OIC]. The next step is to arrange for a U.N. technical team to
work with all factions on the further mechanics of food
distribution as well as a process leading to a durable
cease-fire and an eventual political settlement. We have told
the representatives of General Aideed and Ali Mahdi in blunt
terms that they must stop the fighting and allow humanitarian
relief to go forward.
</p>
<p> Let me address, in turn, the countries of the Horn in
greater detail.
</p>
<p>Ethiopia.
</p>
<p> The transitional Government of Ethiopia in Addis Ababa is
making headway confronting the challenge of constructing a new
government from representatives of a number of wary political,
ethnic, and religious groups. Based on the July 1991 charter,
it is well into the process of restructuring a post-Marxist
government administration, taking initial steps to rebuild the
shattered economy and moving toward regional and national
elections. Regional elections are currently planned for May.
These elections will be the first free elections in Ethiopia's
history. (On March 30, 1992, Department of State Spokesman
Margaret Tutwiler issued a statement applauding "the decision
of the Ethiopian Representative Council to arrange for all armed
groups to be encamped during the election process for district
and regional representatives" and calling "on all armed groups
and the national military to comply with its letter and spirit.
Appropriate observers are prepared to monitor the encampment of
armed groups to ensure no side takes unilateral military or
political advantage of the process. We also encourage all
political forces to compete peacefully in the upcoming
elections." The statement expressed concern about reports of
violence "for the purpose of influencing political behavior"
and offered U.S. technical assistance and monitors for the
elections.)
</p>
<p> In the economic sphere, the council of representatives
adopted an economic policy at the end of 1991 which goes a long
way toward reducing the role of government and increasing the
role of the private sector in the Ethiopian economy. The
transitional government is now taking steps toward privatizing
the transport sector and the 110 state-owned industries.
</p>
<p> However, revitalizing an economy devastated by seventeen
years of war and a socialist dictatorship will require
substantial financial and technical support from the
international community. The Ethiopian Government recently
concluded negotiations with the World Bank on a $630 million
emergency recovery and reconstruction project, which the Bank
board of executive directors is expected to approve in March.
Negotiations with the World Bank and IMF have begun for
structural adjustment support. Other potential donors are
waiting to see what assistance the United States provides.
</p>
<p> Two legislative restrictions--[the] Brooke [amendment to
the 1961 Foreign Assistance Act] and Section 812 of the
International Cooperation and Development Act--prohibit us
from providing bilateral development assistance to Ethiopia. If
legislative restrictions are surmounted, any development
assistance we provide will be dependent on continued progress
on human rights and democracy.
</p>
<p> We are planning to direct our assistance to rebuilding
infrastructure, restoring public services, reintegrating
demobilized soldiers, and revitalizing the economy. The rapid
restarting of economic activity, particularly agriculture, is
essential to help the country move toward self-sufficiency and
engage its long-suffering and displaced population in
productive enterprises. Funds from the development fund for
Africa would also be directed to assist the establishment of
solid processes of democracy and governance, both regionally and
nationally.
</p>
<p> American relief contributions for Ethiopia in food, disaster
assistance, and refugee aid totaled nearly $183 million in FY
1991. Although the rains this year were good, we anticipate
that humanitarian relief efforts will be needed for the next
several years.
</p>
<p>Sudan
</p>
<p> Sudan suffers famine, massive displacements of people, a
devastated economy, and serious human rights abuses. Many of
these difficulties can be traced to the ongoing civil war which
seems no closer to solution than ever. Neither side appears
serious about negotiating, at least until the current dry
season fighting is over. Nevertheless, we continue to support
the OAU's effort to bring both sides to the negotiating table
and are open to suggestions if both sides want us to help. The
situation has recently become more complicated due to the split
within the SPLA [Sudanese People's Liberation Army], which is
largely along tribal lines. It is complicating relief efforts,
presenting Khartoum with a pretext for not negotiating, and has
caused terrible bloodshed and uprooting of peoples in the south.
</p>
<p> Human rights abuses in Sudan are a major concern for us.
Since the middle of last year, the Sudanese Government has been
forcibly relocating people who had settled in the Khartoum area
after fleeing war and drought elsewhere in the country. They
are being moved to inhospitable areas in the desert outside the
city. To date, approximately 50,000 people have been forcibly
relocated, sometimes at gunpoint. Essential services at the new
sites are minimal to nonexistent. We and the rest of the
international community have strongly protested these forced
relocations and asked the Sudanese Government to at least
suspend these movements of people until sites can be better
prepared.
</p>
<p>Somalia
</p>
<p> Somalia is the most acute humanitarian tragedy in the world
today. The fighting in Mogadishu--and deliberate targeting of
ships trying to come in to port--has thwarted efforts to
deliver relief supplies to Somalia's capital. Hundreds of
thousands of people have fled the fighting. Five hundred or
more Somali refugees cross the Kenyan border every day.
Thousands of Somalis have died already of starvation. Estimates
of